Phoenix Housing Snapshot 2025➡️2026 + Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week

• Prime off-market Paradise Valley 1.12 acre lot for sale at $2,200,000.

• Flat lot for easy site prep.

• Existing 1956 home can be torn down or fully reimagined.

• Unobstructed views of Piestewa Peak and the surrounding Phoenix Mountain Preserve.
  

Get more information on this opportunity by scheduling a quick call with me or by contacting me here.

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Year End 2025 Phoenix Housing Snapshot & Looking Towards 2026

For Buyers:

Family incomes in Maricopa County rose sharply over the past 4 years—up 35% for married households—closing the gap between what people earn and what homes cost. With interest rates holding steady near 6.25%, families earning between $90K–$130K now find themselves solidly back in the market, especially in the West and Southeast Valley.

Today’s market offers more choice: homes under $500K make up 57% of active inventory—up 16% year over year. That includes 1,500–1,800 sq ft single-family homes in the mid-$300s (West Valley) and mid-$400s (Southeast). Incomes have caught up. Now it’s a matter of readiness and timing.

For Sellers:

Despite media pessimism, November’s sales were up 9% over last year on a per-day basis, and December is pacing even stronger. That early momentum suggests strong buyer demand heading into Q1 2026.

Many East Valley and central cities (Phoenix, Mesa, Tempe) have already shifted into seller’s markets, with shorter days on market and fewer price drops expected this spring. Even in traditionally slower areas like Peoria and Apache Junction, the tide is turning. Prices may not surge overnight—but showing activity will.

🔮 What to Expect in Early 2026

• Buyers: If rates stay steady and incomes hold, expect a competitive—but not cutthroat—spring market. Waiting for lower prices might backfire if demand outpaces inventory again.

• Sellers: Expect a wave of new listings by March. If you’re listing early in the year, be strategic. The first 30 days are critical in setting expectations and maximizing interest—especially before price reductions return in April.

Want local data or strategy by city?

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